MMA mma betting

Discussion in 'OT Bar' started by The Ripper, Feb 7, 2008.

  1. The Ripper

    The Ripper New Member

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    what are some good fights to bet on I might bet on a fight or three lol.

    Im thinking of betting on tank abbot and hazlett any other good odds out there
     
  2. checkii

    checkii ฝรั่งตาน้ำข้าว

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  3. FlyingNun

    FlyingNun Active Member

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  4. FlyingNun

    FlyingNun Active Member

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    i like henderson bonnar florian at the odds
     
  5. I'm not sure I'd bet on that florian fight. Lauzon is dangerous and Florian can be overwhelmed. I wouldn't feel comfortable with betting on it.
     
  6. checkii

    checkii ฝรั่งตาน้ำข้าว

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    only reason to bet on that fight is if they have Joe listed as a substantial underdog. His only way to win is via GnP or decision. If sherk couldnt pound florian out i am sure J-Lau cant, but he could copntrol for a win.
     
  7. Lauzon would take risks sherk wouldn't though.

    There have been plenty of examples of guys going the distance with superior fighters and then getting finished by less-skilled ones.
     
  8. FlyingNun

    FlyingNun Active Member

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    im just suprised public is giving lauzon so much credit...he's overvalued here
     
  9. Lauzon is overrated, but so is Kenflo. I think he got saved vs. Din by that knee injury. His record is not that impressive.
     
  10. Civil Disobedient

    Civil Disobedient "Die Biting The Throat" OT Supporter

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    if you see anyone in mma ever at +400 or more throw some money on it
     
  11. I wouldn't really describe it as "giving sean sherk a run for his money"

    He got handled and the only thread he offered was opening up a cut from the bottom.

    Kenflo is tough, has good jiu-jitsu, and good low kicks. He might be growing his game, and will probably beat lauzon, but I don't think he belongs in the top 10 or anywhere near it.
     
  12. Civil Disobedient

    Civil Disobedient "Die Biting The Throat" OT Supporter

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    ahem:

    gonazaga vs crocop

    griffin vs shogun

    jardine vs griffin

    jardine vs liddell

    serra vs gsp

    just to name a few

    mma is so unpredictable that odds that good are truly in your favor. i'm not saying bet the bank, but at least give it some love. i did. made me happy.
     
  13. In the past ten major UFC events (UFC 67-77), the underdogs are cashing in at a much higher rate than the odds suggest they should. After reviewing the fight odds and results from each UFC event, we have concluded that an underdog is the better wager in main event fights as well as fights in which there is a heavy favorite (-500 or more).

    UFC betting underdogs

    Main UFC bouts

    * For the majority of UFC events, there are two major fights on the card. This is usually a heavyweight bout and a middleweight or welterweight bout. In these main bouts on each card, the underdogs went 10-11, and would have netted you $1560 in profit had you bet $100 on each fight. On the other end of the spectrum, the favorites in these fights were 11-10 and if you were to bet each of their odds to win $100 (Ex. -250 would be betting $250 to win $100.), you would be in the hole -$2505.

    Large favorites in UFC fights

    * The second major stat we researched was the record of fighters who were favored by -500 or more. There were exactly twelve fights that had a fighter at these odds, and the -500+ fighter went 8-4 in these bouts. If you were to bet on each favorite at their odds to win $100, you would be down -$1850 from these 12 fights. The underdogs on the other hand had a great showing in these fights and went 4-8. With a 4-8 record, the underdogs would have made a $100 bettor $1020.

    Why should you bet underdogs?

    * In mixed martial arts more than any other sport, the underdog really does have a fighting chance to win. Unlike football where a +700 favorite has to play a perfect game for 4 quarters, MMA always presents the opportunity for a fighter to get knocked out relatively early in the fight. MMA fighters don’t have a chance to make up for their mistakes like a football team does. In football the worst that can happen on a mistake is a touchdown. In MMA, the fight could be over.
    * The underdogs seem to present the best value in the main bouts. Most of the public betting money is wagered on these fights, so the lines are always a little more inflated for the favorites. By consistently betting on the underdogs, you are gaining a huge edge over time.
    * If you were to always bet on underdogs or small favorites, the monetary swings experienced will be much less than someone who always bets the favorites. When betting on favorites, you must always win your big bets, or else you’re in for a losing night. However as the stats show, the big favorites do not win at the rate they’re supposed to.

    http://www.mmabettingblog.com/2007/...cheddar-in-main-bouts-ufc-betting-case-study/
     
  14. Civil Disobedient

    Civil Disobedient "Die Biting The Throat" OT Supporter

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    that is easily the best thing i've EVER seen you post
     
  15. 100% copy/paste :sad2:

    it's important to realize they're working with a very small sample size there, so that may not hold true in the future.
     
  16. The Ripper

    The Ripper New Member

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    lawl where was that link with betting odds from all the betting sites i think im gonna throw down some bets
     
  17. Civil Disobedient

    Civil Disobedient "Die Biting The Throat" OT Supporter

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    held true for all of '07 for me. i made over 1500 on an initial investment in december of '06 of 100.
     
  18. http://zewkey.com/mma_betting_super_page.htm

    Just wait for a few more weeks. Most of the odds won't be up until the week before the fight.
     
  19. checkii

    checkii ฝรั่งตาน้ำข้าว

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    weren't you just crying about how poor you were and how your dad beats you and you cant afford a cheesburger.jpeg?



    for 99% of people gambling is completely and utterly stupid. you fall into that 99%
     
  20. The Ripper

    The Ripper New Member

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    not when your betting with other peoples money :) im gonna bet for a freind and if it turns out ok maybee in a month or two ill bet lol
     
  21. I would be even MORE loathe to bet with a friend's money.
     

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